For the past several Presidential elections I have followed the polling and state by state expectations with a great amount of interest (and anticipation, and nervousness, and hope). So, when I realized earlier today we have ONLY 500 days to go until Election Day, I decided I would add a page to the blog and occasionally post an Electoral Map with my guess for the outcome on November 8th, 2016.
Yes 500 days is a long way off; we don't even know who the candidates will be yet (ok actually, yes we do) but that's part of the fun! Yeah... fun.
Anyway, ok so we're 500 days out but the election is already well underway with several Democrats and 4.2 million Republicans having already announced their plans to run. I will update this post with a new guess every 100 days until we get 100 days out, and then I'll do it every 25 days, with the last guess on Monday the 7th, the night before the election.
So, here we go, my guess on June 25, 2015, 500 days out....
I have Hillary... er, the Democrat beating the Bush 325 to 213, with Clinton capturing most of the same states Obama took in 2012 except she loses Ohio and gains Arizona. I think those are my only changes from 2012. Polling shows Hillary solid in Florida (even against Jeb! ) but vulnerable in Ohio. Anyway, here's the map:
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